Agriculture
SM

Soybean Meal

CME Group - CBOT

The protein that feeds the world's chickens and pigs, priced in Chicago and shipped from Rosario.

Top Producers

China: 29%China 29%United States: 20%United States 20%Rest of world: 19%Rest of world 19%EU: 4%EU 4%Argentina: 12%Argentina 12%Brazil: 16%Brazil 16%

share of 2025/26 production

Top Consumers

China: 30%China 30%United States: 14%United States 14%EU: 10%EU 10%Rest of world: 36%Rest of world 36%Vietnam: 3%Vietnam 3%Brazil: 7%Brazil 7%

share of 2025/26 consumption

Main Uses

Animal feed: 97%Animal feed 97%Food, other: 3%Food, other 3%

global soybean meal use by category (USDA)

Top Exporters

Argentina: 40%Argentina 40%Rest of world: 9%Rest of world 9%Paraguay: 4%Paraguay 4%United States: 19%United States 19%Brazil: 28%Brazil 28%

share of 2025/26 exports

Top Importers

EU: 24%EU 24%Indonesia: 8%Indonesia 8%Vietnam: 8%Vietnam 8%Philippines: 5%Philippines 5%Rest of world: 55%Rest of world 55%

share of 2025/26 imports

Global production

roughly 270 million tonnes

as of 2025

Largest exporter

Argentina, roughly 27 to 30 million tonnes a year

as of 2025

Share of a crushed bean

roughly 80 percent by weight

as of 2025

Record price

above $540 per short ton (2012 and 2023 old-crop squeezes)

as of 2025

Soybean meal is the world's dominant protein feed ingredient, the high-protein solid left after oil is extracted from the bean, and it is the demand engine that historically drove the whole soy complex. Roughly 80 percent of every crushed soybean becomes meal, and nearly all of it is fed to poultry, hogs, farmed fish, and dairy cattle. Global meal consumption grows almost every year because meat consumption grows almost every year, particularly in Asia. China is the largest meal consumer but supplies itself by importing beans and crushing domestically, so the traded meal market is dominated by a different origin entirely: Argentina, which crushes most of its crop and exports roughly 27 to 30 million tonnes of meal a year from the crusher cluster around Rosario, making it the world's largest meal exporter by a wide margin.

That geography gives meal its own risk calendar. Argentine drought, like the catastrophic 2023 crop failure that cut the harvest nearly in half, Parana River draft restrictions, crusher strikes, and Argentine export-tax politics all hit meal harder than beans. The other side of the market is the crush itself: when US renewable diesel demand made oil the high-value product from 2021 onward, crushers ran hard for oil and produced meal as a by-product, periodically swamping the meal market and pushing CBOT meal to multi-year lows in 2024 and 2025. Meal trades in 100-short-ton contracts in dollars per ton, settles by physical delivery, and its ratio to bean oil, the oilshare, is the crusher's steering wheel.

How It Trades

VenueCME Group - Chicago Board of Trade
Benchmark contractCBOT Soybean Meal futures (SM, electronic ZM)
Contract size100 short tons (roughly 91 tonnes)
Price termsUS dollars per short ton
SettlementPhysical delivery via shipping certificates at approved crushing facilities
Typical curveGenerally follows the bean curve; inverts on Argentine supply shocks and US crush slowdowns
LiquidityLiquid; roughly 100,000 contracts a day, tightly arbitraged against beans and oil through the crush

Where It Trades

72%CBOT (CME Group)roughly 100,000 lots a day, the world meal benchmark
26%Dalian (DCE)very large Chinese soybean-meal volume, largely domestic
2%Otherminor regional contracts

approximate share of global futures volume, 2025

Supply and Demand

Top producers

  1. China: largest producer by crush volume, consumed domestically
  2. United States: roughly 55 million tonnes of production, exports growing with new crush capacity
  3. Brazil: roughly 43 million tonnes, second-largest exporter
  4. Argentina: roughly 33 million tonnes produced, the world's largest exporter at roughly 27 to 30 million tonnes
  5. European Union (imports beans to crush)

Traded supply concentrates in Argentina's Rosario crushing hub; Argentine weather and policy matter more to meal than to beans.

Top consumers

  1. China (domestic crush feeds the world's largest hog herd)
  2. European Union
  3. United States
  4. Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand: fast-growing importers)

Major uses

  • Poultry feed, the largest single use
  • Hog feed
  • Aquaculture and dairy rations
  • Pet food and specialty proteins

What Moves the Price

  • Argentine crop size, crusher utilization, and export taxes
  • US crush rates, which are increasingly set by renewable diesel demand for oil rather than meal demand
  • Global meat production cycles, especially Chinese hog margins and Southeast Asian poultry growth
  • The oilshare: when oil is the high-value product, meal becomes a by-product and its price weakens
  • Parana River water levels and Rosario logistics
  • Substitute protein prices: rapeseed meal, sunflower meal, DDGs, and synthetic amino acids

Moments That Made the Market

1951

CBOT lists soybean meal futures, completing the crush complex alongside beans and oil.

1973

The US soybean embargo and the Peruvian anchovy collapse (fishmeal's great failure) cement soymeal as the world's protein benchmark.

2012

US drought sends meal to record highs above $540 per short ton.

2018-2019

African swine fever destroys a large share of China's hog herd, cutting world meal demand growth for two years.

2023

Argentina's worst drought in decades halves the crop; meal inverts sharply as the largest exporter runs short of beans to crush.

2024-2025

The US renewable-diesel crush boom floods the market with by-product meal; prices fall to multi-year lows near $260 per short ton.

What Changed Since the 2010 Handbook Era

  • The crush flipped from meal-driven to oil-driven as renewable diesel rerated soybean oil, making meal the residual product.
  • US crush capacity expanded sharply after 2022, turning the US into a growing meal exporter competing with Argentina.
  • African swine fever made Chinese hog-herd health a recurring global demand variable.
  • Argentina's chronic macro instability (export taxes, currency controls) became a structural supply-risk premium.

Related Markets